Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.028210 0.032754 0.037758 0.043669 0.050457 0.058002 0.067019
2025-11-23 0.021493 0.027437 0.034581 0.043775 0.055274 0.069157 0.087166
2025-11-30 0.018025 0.024966 0.033956 0.046402 0.063130 0.084770 0.114822
2025-12-07 0.014760 0.021985 0.031988 0.046756 0.067896 0.096942 0.139728
2025-12-14 0.011879 0.018904 0.029233 0.045393 0.069870 0.105352 0.160423
2025-12-21 0.009945 0.016804 0.027455 0.045007 0.072973 0.115491 0.184610
2025-12-28 0.009019 0.016080 0.027590 0.047455 0.080552 0.133024 0.221856
2026-01-04 0.008047 0.015089 0.027103 0.048755 0.086356 0.148329 0.257247
2026-01-11 0.006822 0.013436 0.025232 0.047396 0.087458 0.155995 0.280839
2026-01-18 0.005942 0.012257 0.023994 0.046923 0.089937 0.166104 0.309506
2026-01-25 0.005108 0.011019 0.022454 0.045648 0.090739 0.173260 0.333599
2026-02-01 0.004465 0.010051 0.021276 0.044870 0.092307 0.181857 0.361074
2026-02-08 0.003981 0.009347 0.020543 0.044911 0.095549 0.194082 0.397037
2026-02-15 0.003456 0.008466 0.019319 0.043782 0.096310 0.201641 0.424874
2026-02-22 0.003257 0.008287 0.019557 0.045765 0.103710 0.223045 0.482425
2026-03-01 0.002931 0.007755 0.018941 0.045791 0.106947 0.236343 0.524858
2026-03-08 0.002546 0.007010 0.017728 0.044299 0.106658 0.242243 0.552409
2026-03-15 0.002276 0.006508 0.017009 0.043845 0.108630 0.253132 0.591730
2026-03-22 0.002192 0.006480 0.017435 0.046192 0.117355 0.279677 0.668099
2026-03-29 0.002056 0.006285 0.017417 0.047437 0.123605 0.301294 0.735534
2026-04-05 0.001813 0.005747 0.016435 0.046104 0.123407 0.308105 0.769672
2026-04-12 0.001636 0.005369 0.015821 0.045638 0.125307 0.320002 0.816895
2026-04-19 0.001449 0.004926 0.014961 0.044394 0.125055 0.326697 0.852300